About Campaigns Don't Count
This blog is operated by Martin Gottlieb, whose day job is with the editorial page of the Dayton Daily News. The main idea here is that the media and the media manipulators are not important players in American elections, and that this is demonstrated by the fact that presidential election outcomes can be predicted before the campaigns even start. Gottlieb is the author of "Campaigns Don't Count: How the Media Get American Politics All Wrong." (See www.campaignsdontcount.com.) That book proceeds from the work of Allan J. Lichtman, author of "The 13 Keys to the Presidency." Perhaps the best introduction to the blog is in the first posts, dated Oct. 5, 2007.
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Tuesday, November 6, 2007
By Martin Gottlieb
| Tuesday, November 6, 2007, 11:12 AM
Welcome to a political blog that is not interested in a discussion of the relative merits of the Democrats and Republicans, liberals and conservatives, or any other parties, ideologies or tendencies. Instead, the blogger is a proponent of a certain system for predicting the outcomes of elections and for understanding what determines election outcomes. This year, that system offers the admittedly unsurprising view that 2008 looks pretty good for the Democrats. But in 2004 the system flatly predicted a George W. Bush victory from the beginning of that year. If you want to get in the swing of what’s going on here, you might check out the first posts, on Oct. 5, 2007.
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2008 presidential race